M30: We are the 70.58% - Joint Politicians/Third Party Victory

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Valentine
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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Night 3

Postby Valentine » Mon Jul 11, 2016 7:45 am

Think your vote through this time please.

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Night 3

Postby Ness-Wednesday » Mon Jul 11, 2016 3:27 pm

Rather think twice before voting randomly without good reason...

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Night 3

Postby PixelPest » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:37 pm

It's also better to discuss possible lynch targets before actually voting for them

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Night 3

Postby Kyo Saito » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:54 pm

PixelPest wrote:It's also better to discuss possible lynch targets before actually voting for them
In all honesty, I'm in favor of voting for Doesntpostverymuch if we have no real leads, because his behavior seems panicked, which means he could possibly be Mafia, but he could also just be a regular townie and he's panicking because he's getting interrogated and doesn't have anything to back his claims up. So until we get a lead, that's where my vote would go.

Doesntpostverymuch
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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Night 3

Postby Doesntpostverymuch » Mon Jul 11, 2016 6:13 pm

Kyo Saito wrote:
PixelPest wrote:It's also better to discuss possible lynch targets before actually voting for them
In all honesty, I'm in favor of voting for Doesntpostverymuch if we have no real leads, because his behavior seems panicked, which means he could possibly be Mafia, but he could also just be a regular townie and he's panicking because he's getting interrogated and doesn't have anything to back his claims up. So until we get a lead, that's where my vote would go.
the fact that i don't know if i'll show up red or not disproves your theory

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Night 3

Postby Kyo Saito » Mon Jul 11, 2016 6:47 pm

Doesntpostverymuch wrote:
Kyo Saito wrote:
PixelPest wrote:It's also better to discuss possible lynch targets before actually voting for them
In all honesty, I'm in favor of voting for Doesntpostverymuch if we have no real leads, because his behavior seems panicked, which means he could possibly be Mafia, but he could also just be a regular townie and he's panicking because he's getting interrogated and doesn't have anything to back his claims up. So until we get a lead, that's where my vote would go.
the fact that i don't know if i'll show up red or not disproves your theory
That really doesn't disprove anything, though, because I can't trust your own word, you're just defending yourself.

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - End of Night 3

Postby Julia Pseudo » Mon Jul 11, 2016 7:20 pm

Sorry I'm a couple of hours late, I was on a train with no wi-fi all day.

NIGHT 3 has ended!

Bomber57 was preparing a bomb to attack the capitol building when he was shot.
Bomber57 has died!

Waddle Derp was derping around when someone pulled a bag over his head. They never found the body.
Waddle Derp has died!

SPECIAL REPORT INCOMING!
The Mafiaville Times received another message from an unknown source...
• "I apologize for not contributing much, I can't particularly get any leads because everyone is playing like dogshit so it's hard to get reads, including me. So yeah rip."

It is now DAY 3! Day 3 will end in the evening (8-9 PM) of July 13 in Central European Time (CET), afternoon Pacific Standard Time, or potentially earlier if there are enough votes for an insta.

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby MistakesWereMade » Mon Jul 11, 2016 7:38 pm

I believe we fucking lost

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby HeroOfRhyme » Mon Jul 11, 2016 7:45 pm

Well the third party finally decided to do something it seems? Man what a terrible game, I havent been able to contribute much either so nien is basically right. Weve pretty much lost guys. Unless anyone has any leads at all?

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby MECHDRAGON777 » Mon Jul 11, 2016 11:47 pm

The language used sounds like Nien. I believe that it is the Mafia doing the posts, and not the blue since we only have one blue. The Mafia could be holding back the messages to make us thing the blue we have left is not the conspiracy theorist... I have no leads besides who the double speaker is.

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby Kyo Saito » Tue Jul 12, 2016 12:34 am

MECHDRAGON777 wrote:The language used sounds like Nien. I believe that it is the Mafia doing the posts, and not the blue since we only have one blue. The Mafia could be holding back the messages to make us thing the blue we have left is not the conspiracy theorist... I have no leads besides who the double speaker is.
Who would that be, then?

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby MECHDRAGON777 » Tue Jul 12, 2016 1:19 am

Kyo Saito wrote:
MECHDRAGON777 wrote:The language used sounds like Nien. I believe that it is the Mafia doing the posts, and not the blue since we only have one blue. The Mafia could be holding back the messages to make us thing the blue we have left is not the conspiracy theorist... I have no leads besides who the double speaker is.
Who would that be, then?
MECHDRAGON777 wrote:Players (14/17 remain)
1. Ness-Wednesday
2. PixelPest
3. Zeldamaster12 (died Night 2)
4. RezsurXion
5. MECHDRAGON777
6. MosaicMario
7. Doesntpostverymuch
8. Nickname/Spinda
9. PaperPlayerX (died Night 1)
10. Waddle Derp
11. ExKyo
12. Sanct
13. Nien
14. Bomber57
15. Kyo Saito
16. Supershroom (died Day 1)
17. Nuclear_Blaze

If your name is striked out, I believe it is impossible for you to be the DoubleSpeaker. If your name is not striked out, then you may be the double speaker.
Someone who's name is not striked out! I can narrow it down by people who have died since this post.

1. Ness-Wednesday
2. PixelPest
3. Zeldamaster12 (died Night 2)
4. RezsurXion
5. MECHDRAGON777
6. MosaicMario
7. Doesntpostverymuch
8. Nickname/Spinda
9. PaperPlayerX (died Night 1)
10. Waddle Derp
11. ExKyo
12. Sanct
13. Nien
14. Bomber57
15. Kyo Saito
16. Supershroom (died Day 1)
17. Nuclear_Blaze

You have a 1/5 chance with this, becuase on Day 1, everyone who did not vote for Supershroom is possible since we know the double speaker voted, but did not say a vote. I have not looked at the data for day 2's vote yet. We just know the doublespeaker is just ballot-box voting. We know this becuae Day 1 was an insta when it did not meet the requirements of more than half.

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby MECHDRAGON777 » Tue Jul 12, 2016 1:33 am

MECHDRAGON777 wrote:1. Ness-Wednesday
2. PixelPest
3. Zeldamaster12 (died Night 2)
4. RezsurXion
5. MECHDRAGON777
6. MosaicMario
7. Doesntpostverymuch
8. Nickname/Spinda
9. PaperPlayerX (died Night 1)
10. Waddle Derp
11. ExKyo
12. Sanct
13. Nien
14. Bomber57
15. Kyo Saito
16. Supershroom (died Day 1)
17. Nuclear_Blaze
With Day 2's information, 6 People voted for Nuclear_Blaze out of 14. I retracted my vote by voting a random other user, but still. Either way, out of people who did not vote for the lynched indvidual that was insta-ed.

DAY ONE


MosaicMario
DoesntPostVeryMuch
ExKyo
Nien
KyoSaito
Nuclear_Blaze (Dead)
Bomber57 (Dead)
Supershroom (Dead/voted for)

DAY TWO

Ness-Wednesday
Zeldamaster12 (died Night 2)
MECHDRAGON777
PaperPlayerX (died Night 1)
Waddle Derp (died Night 3)
ExKyo
Nien
Bomber57 (died Night 3)
Kyo Saito
Supershroom (died Day 1)
Nuclear_Blaze (died Day 2)
Next, compile the names that did not appear on either list. (So if your name appears twice, you have a chance to be Double Speaker)
So the only three people that never voted for who was insta-lynched on either day are:
ExKyo
Nien
KyoSaito

That means, that the doublespeaker has to be ExKyo, Nien, or KyoSaito

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby PersonNamedUser » Tue Jul 12, 2016 1:36 am

This game is so one sided at this point that I give up, no really, I'm considering stopping out for how ashamed I am of the town.

Also Mech's post puts those 3 on my suspicion list along with PixelPest.

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby PersonNamedUser » Tue Jul 12, 2016 1:37 am

Dammit, autocorrect

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby MECHDRAGON777 » Tue Jul 12, 2016 1:59 am

MosaicMario wrote:Dammit, autocorrect
It is good to start getting Mafia now since we wasted all of our time trying to get find them and kept coming up green/blue

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby Valentine » Tue Jul 12, 2016 2:01 am

I don't really see anything resembling a lead, so I'd probably go with MECHDRAGON's logic on thos one since it's the closest thing we have tp a lead.

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby Valentine » Tue Jul 12, 2016 2:06 am

It is definitely flawed, but I'd rather try something at the very least

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby Kyo Saito » Tue Jul 12, 2016 2:32 am

Mechdragon brings some pretty interesting logic to the table, and I appreciate that. Now the only problem is, who do we go with?

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Re: M30: We are the 70.58% - Day 3

Postby Valentine » Tue Jul 12, 2016 2:38 am

Going with Nien seems like suicide. ExKyo,has really not contributee to the discussion in any way. Kyo Saito just seems like he's been posting a bit less than usual

I say we go with ExKyo


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